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Container shipping rates may ease by this Summer

Cargo shippers could see some rate relief around summer as bottlenecks at ports caused by the pandemic ease and companies add more boxes.
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The world’s largest container carrier said trade disruptions that have sent freight rates soaring and overwhelmed major ports may start to ease after the first quarter, disappointing investors but signaling eventual relief for cargo shippers.

A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S Chief Executive Officer Soren Skou said the fourth quarter “was marked on the one hand by a continuous impact of the Covid-19 pandemic but also by some rewarding progress on our strategy to become the integrator of container logistics.”

Looking ahead, Maersk said it expects “the current exceptional situation” of surging demand, supply chain bottlenecks and equipment shortages to continue this quarter “and normalize thereafter.”

Shares in the Copenhagen-based company slumped as much as 10% amid signs freight rates are close to peaking. With capacity fully deployed and new containers coming into service, industry observers expect those volatile spot rates to stabilize and bottlenecks ease by the end of the first half.

“Toward mid-year, I would expect to see a leveling out of these current rate increases,” International Chamber of Shipping Chairman Esben Poulsson said Wednesday. “There will be additional capacity added into the container line system and this demand will be dealt with.”

Shipping firms such as South Korea’s HMM Co. are ordering more containers to address an acute shortage, with cargo stuck at warehouses longer than usual because of lockdowns and workplace restrictions. That’s why the Port of Los Angeles is trying to get its workers vaccinated, Executive Director Gene Seroka said in an interview with Bloomberg TV on Wednesday.

Bloomberg Intelligence: Box Shortage Tapers Container Volume Growth

Spot container rates on key trade lanes jumped to records last month. The cost from Shanghai to Los Angeles rose to a record $4,194 per 40-foot container on Jan. 7, while those from the Asian hub to Rotterdam surged to $9,066 on Jan. 21, according to the Drewry World Container Index.

Trade associations in China and other organizations around the world have sounded the alarm.

“I’m very aware of the fact that the regulators are watching us and if required, there could be intervention,” Shipping Corp. of India Chairwoman Harjeet Kaur Joshi said in an interview with Bloomberg TV, without elaborating.

Source : Bloomberg

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